1. La ruptura irreversible de la confianza transatlántica.
Los ciudadanos y líderes europeos expresan que la confianza en los Estados Unidos se ha roto de manera permanente. La imprevisibilidad política de Washington, evidenciada por la reelección de Donald Trump, ha llevado a la conclusión de que EE. UU. ya no es un aliado confiable.
- Europe is facing an existential threat and the military buildup is massive on the continent. Trump has aligned himself with Vladimir Putin, their arch-enemy. When you betray your allies you only do it once, there's no second chances for us with a new administration. When trust is gone, it's permanent.
- There are some European politicians who think we can cling onto NATO and it'll go back to how it was before Trump. I think this is naive and misguided. I don't think we can ever trust the US again. It's really sad to say this.
- NATO without USA is weaker. For now. Much to the delight and joy of Putin and Russia, Trump is destabilising. Europe has now recognised that USA is no longer a reliable ally. That is a decisive unrepairable break. Trust is gone.
2. Hacia la autonomía estratégica y la independencia militar de Europa.
Ante la falta de fiabilidad de Washington, los países europeos están acelerando planes para desarrollar su propia industria de defensa, reducir la dependencia de la tecnología militar estadounidense y establecer alianzas de seguridad alternativas.
- Now it's crucial not to trust again the US, Europe must become military independent from them ASAP. It's no longer an ally.
- The trust in the US is gone for the next decades. I just hope to see something good coming out of this: Europe becoming a major weapons producer and a military super power capable of keeping Russia in check. No more US bases in Europe.
- Europe needs to stop buying military equipment from the US. If we buy from European allies the money stays in Europe which can then be used to strengthen European defences. Fuck the US, they're no longer allies because how can we have allies that we can't trust?
3. El impacto desestabilizador de las crisis de Groenlandia e Irán.
Las amenazas de anexión de Groenlandia y la decisión unilateral de iniciar un conflicto con Irán sin consultar a los aliados de la OTAN han sido catalizadores clave para el colapso de la confianza mutua.
- Denmark prepared to blow up its own runways in Greenland. Not for Russia. Not for China. For the United States. That's how far trust has collapsed. Allies don't make plans like this unless something is already broken.
- Trump starts a war in Iran without consulting his NATO allies, gets in over his head, creates a worldwide energy crisis, wants to extricate himself, and gets pissed off because NATO won't help him. He's the definition of reckless. He's not the kind of ally that NATO can trust.
- The threat to invade Greenland broke the US relationship with Europe in a way that cannot be restored. European leaders no longer trust the US. The UK is more likely to align with Europe than the US moving forward.
4. El fin de la OTAN tal como la conocemos.
La OTAN, concebida como una alianza de defensa mutua basada en la confianza del Artículo 5, se percibe actualmente como un proyecto debilitado o espiritualmente muerto debido a la retórica transaccional de la administración estadounidense.
- Collective security depends on collective trust. The USA has lost that trust, not only with NATO members but worldwide. Not only for the present but for years, decades and a generation to come. NATO as we know it is finished, potential adversaries know that, therefore it's no longer a deterrent.
- There is not a single European with a brain cell who could reasonably believe that he would honor Art. 5. Without that trust, NATO is dead.
- Trump can't legally withdraw from NATO without Senate consent. But if NATO members can't trust that the United States will honor Article 5, the alliance is already broken in the way that matters most.